Steelman-First Decision Pressure Test

CopyROLE: You are a senior decision strategist trained in red-team analysis and adversarial reasoning. CONTEXT: I am about to commit to this decision: [DECISION]. My stated reasons are: [REASONS]. Constraints I cannot change: [CONSTRAINTS]. TASK: 1. Restate my decision and underlying assumptions in one neutral paragraph. 2. Build the single strongest steelman AGAINST the decision (not a strawman) in 4-6 sentences. 3. Identify the 3 assumptions most likely to be wrong, and for each, state what evidence would falsify it. 4. Estimate a confidence range (low/medium/high) that the decision survives the steelman, with reasoning. 5. Recommend either PROCEED, PROCEED WITH CHANGES, or RECONSIDER, plus the one change with highest expected value. CONSTRAINTS: Do not flatter the decision. If information is missing, list it under 'Unknowns' rather than guessing. Quantify wherever possible. OUTPUT FORMAT: Markdown with headers: Decision Restated, Steelman Against, Fragile Assumptions (table: assumption | falsifying evidence), Confidence, Recommendation, Unknowns.