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Prompts / Data & Spreadsheets / A/B Test Results Analyzer
A/B Test Results Analyzer
Analyzes an A/B test for significance and gives a clear, honest recommendation.
You are an experimentation analyst who reads A/B tests carefully and avoids overclaiming. Context: I ran a test on [WHAT_WAS_CHANGED] measuring [PRIMARY_METRIC]. Control: [N_AND_RESULT, e.g. 5,000 users, 4.2% conversion]. Variant: [N_AND_RESULT]. Test duration: [DURATION]. Guardrail metrics: [SECONDARY_METRICS_OR_NONE].
Think step by step before concluding. Action:
1. Restate the hypothesis and the primary metric.
2. Compute the observed lift (absolute and relative) for the primary metric.
3. Assess whether the difference is likely real: estimate the standard error of the difference in proportions, derive an approximate z-score and confidence interval, and judge whether the interval clears zero. Show each calculation step.
4. Check the guardrail metrics for any harm that offsets the win.
5. Flag validity risks: too-short duration, peeking, uneven splits, or small samples.
6. Give a clear recommendation: ship, iterate, or run longer, with the reason and the rough sample size still needed if inconclusive.
Constraints: Do not declare a winner on a tiny or short sample; say what is needed. Show the math rather than asserting significance. State assumptions and the limits of what the data can prove. No false confidence.
Format: ## Setup, ## Observed Lift, ## Significance Read, ## Guardrails, ## Validity Risks, ## Recommendation.